Not really of course, but instead of picking each game as a win or a loss, let's look at probabilities based upon what we know now. It appears to me that the defense will be stronger than last year, but certainly not an elite defense. Likely top 3 in the conference. Offense, a different story. A lot of question marks. Anyway, started by looking at each game as if on a neutral field. We should strong favorites (10 point favorite or more) in five games, South Dakota, UTSA, La Tech, KU and ISU. Significant underdogs versus TCU and Baylor. Of the remaining 5 games would likely be favorites in 4 of them, again on a neutral field. Likely would be a touchdown underdog to OU. Not convinced that OSU and Texas are that much better than they were last year when KSU pounded both of them. Of course none of these games are on a neutral field, so adjustments should be made. Predictions are to the nearest 5%. So while no game is truly 100%, a couple will be listed as 100%.
Opponent Win % Comment
South Dakota 100 No brainer
UTSA 100 On the road but if we loss this one we are really no good and you can discard all of this.
La Tech 90 Pretty good team but at home, should win handily.
OSU 55 Not convinced that they are that much better than last year.
TCU 25 At home, but they're just too good, with the best QB in the country.
Oklahoma 50 Not sure they are and better than last year, but we seem to lose to them in Manhattan
Texas 60 Charlie needs at least one more year and a QB
Baylor 25 See TCU above
Texas Tech 60 Possibly better than last year but plenty of question marks
Iowa State 95 Should be an easy win at home.
KU 100 No comment necessary
WVU 75 Might surprise us, but at home
Total 835
Certainly you can argue different percentages and maybe this is a little high considering the gopowercat staff's expectations, but the approach seems valid to me.
Opponent Win % Comment
South Dakota 100 No brainer
UTSA 100 On the road but if we loss this one we are really no good and you can discard all of this.
La Tech 90 Pretty good team but at home, should win handily.
OSU 55 Not convinced that they are that much better than last year.
TCU 25 At home, but they're just too good, with the best QB in the country.
Oklahoma 50 Not sure they are and better than last year, but we seem to lose to them in Manhattan
Texas 60 Charlie needs at least one more year and a QB
Baylor 25 See TCU above
Texas Tech 60 Possibly better than last year but plenty of question marks
Iowa State 95 Should be an easy win at home.
KU 100 No comment necessary
WVU 75 Might surprise us, but at home
Total 835
Certainly you can argue different percentages and maybe this is a little high considering the gopowercat staff's expectations, but the approach seems valid to me.
