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Football Latest scenarios/theories/updates (7/24/2021)

D

Derek Young

Guest
1: Nothing is really certain right now. I think there are theories, which is why I am phrasing it that way. But I don't think there is certainty on what angles will ultimately be taken or can even be completed.

2: I've shared prior to this one that two different ones were shared to me. One where KSU/OSU/Tech/TCU head to P12, WVU to ACC and KU/ISU to B1G as part of trend towards four super conferences of 16 teams. Only thing with that is there is nothing that says they have to do this. And greed could win out and take them another direction. Who does ACC add with WVU if Notre Dame doesn't want to come and is it worth it to them? (It's not.) Is it worth it to the Big Ten to just add KU and Iowa State just to add? (It's not.) Does the P12 have any interest in TCU? (I've heard they don't). The other one I've shared was just about four teams headed to the P12 (for their desire to add central time zone teams for hopefully a more lucrative television deal) and those would be OSU/KSU/Tech/Houston (because I was told P12 has little to no interest in TCU and Baylor.) Those are just stuff thrown at me. Yes, maybe they'd take KU and not KSU. I am not here to say. Just sharing what I'm told, and yes, I don't believe most of this stuff right now. I think it might be strategies or theories, but nothing necessarily unfolding in real time.

3: I've mentioned Houston already. I'm also told UCF could be a prize, especially for the Big 12 if they ultimately stick together. I think they could stick together and add up to four schools, but I don't think that is an idea that is being entertained seriously just yet because the schools obviously want to browse and try their way at reaching a power conference. UCF could be a target of even the ACC I'm told. That's a new one. Again, there's lots of things being said right now and I'm sharing it all, not promising that these are actually in play.

4: I have an old Ohio State source that is very tied into the business side of realignment and is more on the television side of things. The Big Ten is receiving a lot of pressure by some of its stakeholders that it needs to make a big splash in order to stay up and compete with the SEC so that they are not clearly seen as inferior to them. Because that could even clearly hurt Ohio State, who has recruited super well in Texas as of late. The #1 player in the 2022 class is from Texas and committed to them. While there is a question of just how bold and dynamic their leadership truly wants to be (and how competent), there is mutual interest between them and some of the Pac-12 schools apparently - and that would consist of USC, UCLA, Cal, Stanford, Colorado and Oregon. No, Washington wasn't mentioned to me. Apparently like ESPN had involvement in the SEC and Texas/OU stuff, FOX would have involvement in this arrangement being formed if it came to fruition. The television people seem to give it more credence than the actual football/university folks, who think it would be hard to pull off due to the geographical conflicts and complications, shaky Big Ten leadership and some that think the new P12 leadership is a bright spot for them.

5: So, that would make sense as to why we've also heard that the P12 is more concerned about retaining members rather than adding members at the moment.

6: Another thing I heard today, which obviously carries its share of doubt, too, is that Texas A&M is so upset and in their feelings because they believe they have been lied to by the SEC, that they have at least preliminary interest in that hypothetical move to the Big Ten. Is that true? I don't know, but the television side sources have thrown that out there.

7: The television exec did point out, that if the Pac-12 was to make a move and create some stability for themselves for the time being and perhaps grabbing a lucrative TV deal, it would be to add central time zone teams. Said probably four, just to make travel a bit less brutal than if it were just two. That would be Kansas State's opportunity at remaining in the Power Conference structure, according to them.

8: While I don't know what's true and what isn't, and I don't think there's a zero percent chance of KSU making it into a Power Conference league, I continue to hear and feel that the most likely outcome still at this time would be the eight schools remaining together and adding teams. And it sounds like UCF would be the most likely addition in that scenario. Houston would be appealing to some, but not everyone, of course. Not a lot of people really want to work with BYU. Some former officials have estimated that such a league may be able to warrant a TV deal that would pay members around $20 million per year. So basically smack dab in the middle of what the Big 12 makes now and what the AAC makes now.
 
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