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S15teve

Almost on scholarship
Jul 8, 2014
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Who would be impressed with a non conference line up of the following all at home/neurtral:

Louisiana Monroe
Tenn Tech
South Dakota
Omaha
New Mexico
St. Bonnie's
Belmont
Yale
SMU
Nevada
Texas Southern
William and Mary

This is TCU's non conference schedule. Kenpom average of 148, which is better than K-States 207. However, considering one team went 10-8 and the other 9-9 in a round robin is that enough to justify a 6 seed vs. a 10 seed? Also the teams had one common non con opponent - Vanderbilt, one team one at Vandy, the other did not. Cats won by 5 at home, lost by 7 in Ft. worth.

To put the Kenpom SOS in perspective 148 average means your average opponent is Mercer, 207 is Umass. Is there really much of a difference? I do think TCU might be a point or two better, however looking at the body of work I don't think there is any reason one should be a bubble team and the other a 6 seed.

IMO the tournament committee puts too much stock into non conference games instead of an 18 game season playing the exact same teams. We label wins great or terrible before we know anything about the opponent. While K State had a "terrible" loss to ASU (by 2) the 5th game and TCU had a good resume win (by 2) over New Mexico. Turns out ASU was pretty good and New Mexico was not.

Rant over.
 
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