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Scouting Iowa State Part 1

ksu_FAN

All-American performer
Nov 21, 2017
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Steve Prohm has done an excellent job rebounding from last year's bad season at Iowa State. The Cyclones had a big home win a week ago over Kansas, but lost at Baylor in their midweek game. In the OOC, their best win was over Missouri with losses to Arizona and Iowa.

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The biggest change this year for Iowa State is on the defensive end, jumping over 100 spots from last year's team to currently a top 25 defense. They are solid on eFG% defense, but the notable improvement is in forcing TOs, something Prohm coached teams haven't done a lot in the past. The impressive part is that they've maintained the ability to not foul and send opponents to the FT line with their increased pressure. Having a balanced defense that is top 90 in all 4 factors will make for a tough challenge on the road.

The Cyclones continue to be a program that features great offense, especially shooting and taking care of the ball. The biggest key is an improvement of nearly 9% on 2s, from #253 last year to #20 this year at 56.6%. They also feature a TO% of only 15%, which has been a staple of Prohm's teams at ISU. Neither rebounding or getting to the FT line are major strengths and the Cyclones are solid on 3s.

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Iowa State continues to play the transfer market well with 2 key additions this year from Virginia (Shayok) and Nebraska (Jacobson). Weiler-Babb has been there a while, but he was also a transfer from Arkansas. Mixed in is some solid recruiting, with top 100 players in Wigginton, Lewis, and Horton-Tucker. Its note worthy that every player on the roster has an offensive rating of over 1.04 (K-State has one, and that's injured Dean Wade), 4 guys scoring over 12 a game, and 3 guys at 30 points per 100 possessions. Plus this is a group of long guards and 1 big as starters, which will create some interesting match ups for the Cats.

The key to ISU's big win over KU was forcing turnovers on 1/3 of the Jayhawk's possessions and hitting over 50% from 3. Its safe to say that if they they repeat that against K-State it will be ugly in Ames. However, I do think our guards will do a much better job handling the ball, especially coming off of our best game taking care of the ball this year against a physical WVU defense. Then you look at shooting and currently K-State is allowing opponents to shoot 44% from behind the arc in 3 Big 12 games. At some point its likely that will come back toward the norm and K-State will win some 3 point lottery games. Plus, the Cats are coming off of a solid shooting game themselves. I see this becoming an offensive game, but without Wade the Cats probably don't have quite enough to get the road win.

Cats 72 - Cyclones 78
 
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