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Basketball Shot Quality (Advanced Stats Site)

KSU_fan23

On the depth chart
Apr 2, 2020
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I am not a huge advanced analytics/stats, mainly because I do not know a lot about them, although I just took a stats class, so maybe that sparked my interest.

Anyways, this site, Shot Quality, basically quantifies the quality of shots that a team and/or player takes.

Their main stat is called Shot Quality (shocker), and per their website it is calculated, by "Shot Quality is calculated by multiplying the percent chance a shot has of going in, i.e. the probability that the basket is made and the type of shot, denoted by the no. of points that shot entails - either a 2-pointer or a 3-pointer."

The percent chance that the shot has going in is predetermined by 90 (!!!) variables. Pretty crazy stuff. Anyway, I wanted to see where KSU as a team and the players stood.

Anyways here is deep dive into some of the stats this cool website has.

Team NameOffensive SQDefensive SQRim and 3 RateSQ RecordRecord Luck
Kansas State1.051.030.665.8-5.27.27
AverageAverageAverageAbove Average-Great


Offensive SQ: Quality of shots taken by us on offense
For context: 1.20 and up is considered Excellent and 0.9 or less is considered awful​
Defensive SQ: Quality of shots given up by us on defense
For context: Vice versa of the offensive​
Rim and 3 Rate: The rate at which teams get a shot at the rim or a three.
For context: .80 and above is excellent and .50 is awful​
Record Luck: The SQ win percentage win %-actual win %. (So we are seeing positive regression)
For context: 15 or more is excellent and 0 is average.​
Pretty telling that we are only average on defense this year, when we have been stout the past years of Weber's tenure. When a regressed Defense is paired with an Offense that is also exactly average by shot quality standards, not many good things are going to happen.

Now for a dive into a few players SQ stats. I just went with Nijel and Mike for the hell of it....

PlayerPossessionsSQ PPPSQ PPP RankGood Possession RateBad Possession RateRim and 3 RateSQ Passing Points/Game
Nijel Pack1260.92 (Below Average-Average)47th Percentile25% (Exactly Average)32% (Below Average)66% (Average)6.23
Mike McGuirl1460.97 (Just above Average)58th Percentile28% (Almost Above Average)24% (Average)73% (Above Average-Great)8.52

SQ PPP: Shot Quality Points acquired per possession
For context: 1.10 or more is excellent and .80 or lower is awful​
Good Possession Rate: The percent of possessions played are in the 66th Percentile of SQ points or above.
Bad Possession Rate: The percent of possessions played that are in the 33rd Percentile of SQ points or above.
Rim and 3 Rate: Same as above, percentage of shots that are either 3's or at the rim.
SQ Passing Points Created/Game: Tracks every pass and sums up the SQ points that were accumulated from each pass. Dispels bias in normal assist stat.

The individual stats are a little telling where our faults may be coming from, just from these two players. Especially Mike (and I am a Mike supporter), but if your "lead" or "go to" guy is going to just be about average in these stats, that is an issue. And the fact that a true frosh is almost having as many good possessions as you, that could also be telling) Mike is distributing at a high level so that so that is nice to see.

Just thought this site was interesting as their stats have basically no bias. Here is a link, https://shotquality.com/ any team or player on a team can be found.

I know there is a lot here and a ton of info, so feel free to skim or not even look at it, but just were curious as to what you guys thought of this????
 
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