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Win probability

Pilotksu

On full scholarship
Apr 4, 2002
2,619
975
113
I love looking at these charts after a crazy game.

Iowa State, of course, had a 99.9% chance of winning when we missed on 4th down late. They had a 99.3% chance after getting a 1st down near midfield with 4:00 remaining and were above 90% from basically the second quarter on.

The last time we had the numbers in our favor before the final fumbles was when we forced a 4th and 1 from the 1 on our second goal line stand attempt in the second quarter and we had a 52.5% of winning. We started at about 52%, as well.


Their chance of winning is the red line.

chart.jpg


http://www.predictionmachine.com/Io...State-Wildcats-College-Football-Live-11-21-15
 
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