Figured this would be nice to have for the back half of league play, and went ahead and did a little digging this morning on the contenders and their skeds.
KU (6-4)
OSU
@TCU
WV
@TT
KSU
@OSU
@OU
BAY
They've got the easiest path left as their only projected loss left is @TT. I know they've been terrible on the road and their O is really struggling but I don't see them going worse than 2-2 and they won't lose at AFH. It'll be tough to win it outright imo but they've got a good shot at at least a share.
TT (6-4)
@OU
@OSU
BAY
KU
OSU
@TCU
UT
@ISU
They're also in good shape schedule-wise (3 games left vs contenders, 2 at home), I'm just not a big believer in them at all unless they can start scoring (I know they just dropped 81 but it was still only WV). They're favored in all but that game @ISU but I think they go 5-3.
ISU (7-3)
TCU
@KSU
BAY
@TCU
OU
@UT
@WV
TT
Their SOS is almost identical to TT's going forward. They're 3-2 on the road and their D has been pretty good BUT 1) each win was by 2 possessions or less 2) 2 wins were over the 8th and 9th place teams and 3) they've only played 2 of the top 6 league offenses on the road - and lost both of those. I wouldn't be terribly shocked if they went 1-3 down the stretch. Don't think they drop another one in Ames, but possible I guess. 12-6 seems likely to me.
BAY (6-3)
KSU
OU
@TT
@ISU
WV
UT
@KSU
OSU
@KU
They've been playing out of their minds until last night but they have the toughest slate left (still have to visit the other 4 contenders plus have us on Saturday). They're projected to go 5-4 and that looks about right to me.
KSU (7-2)
@BAY
@UT
ISU
@WV
OSU
@KU
BAY
@TCU
OU
We're projected only 4-5 but I think we can manage at least 5-4. Split the next two, get one of @WV/@KU/@TCU, and get at least three of the four at home. Even if we lose to ISU in that scenario, we're in great shape for at least a co-title at 12-6.
KU (6-4)
OSU
@TCU
WV
@TT
KSU
@OSU
@OU
BAY
They've got the easiest path left as their only projected loss left is @TT. I know they've been terrible on the road and their O is really struggling but I don't see them going worse than 2-2 and they won't lose at AFH. It'll be tough to win it outright imo but they've got a good shot at at least a share.
TT (6-4)
@OU
@OSU
BAY
KU
OSU
@TCU
UT
@ISU
They're also in good shape schedule-wise (3 games left vs contenders, 2 at home), I'm just not a big believer in them at all unless they can start scoring (I know they just dropped 81 but it was still only WV). They're favored in all but that game @ISU but I think they go 5-3.
ISU (7-3)
TCU
@KSU
BAY
@TCU
OU
@UT
@WV
TT
Their SOS is almost identical to TT's going forward. They're 3-2 on the road and their D has been pretty good BUT 1) each win was by 2 possessions or less 2) 2 wins were over the 8th and 9th place teams and 3) they've only played 2 of the top 6 league offenses on the road - and lost both of those. I wouldn't be terribly shocked if they went 1-3 down the stretch. Don't think they drop another one in Ames, but possible I guess. 12-6 seems likely to me.
BAY (6-3)
KSU
OU
@TT
@ISU
WV
UT
@KSU
OSU
@KU
They've been playing out of their minds until last night but they have the toughest slate left (still have to visit the other 4 contenders plus have us on Saturday). They're projected to go 5-4 and that looks about right to me.
KSU (7-2)
@BAY
@UT
ISU
@WV
OSU
@KU
BAY
@TCU
OU
We're projected only 4-5 but I think we can manage at least 5-4. Split the next two, get one of @WV/@KU/@TCU, and get at least three of the four at home. Even if we lose to ISU in that scenario, we're in great shape for at least a co-title at 12-6.
